Typhoon Haiyan – 48 Hours After

PAF C-130s and a Sokol helicopter (background) at the battered Tacloban City Airport. Image Credit: Reuters
PAF C-130s and a Sokol helicopter (background) at the battered Tacloban City Airport. Image Credit: Reuters

Super Typhoon Haiyan tore through the Central Visayas area of the Philippines, not only leveling Tacloban City where she made first landfall, but ripped through the islands of Samar and Leyte, Northern Cebu and the Panay provinces and swiped Busuanga Island, on her way out to the Western Philippine Sea. One apt description of Haiyan (locally known as Yolanda) was “easily a Category 4 Hurricane, but combined with a tornado having a hundred-mile wide damage path .”

The impacted area is about the size of West Virginia, but with the added complication of being scattered islands and archipelagos, relying on key transit points including airports, seaports and vital roads and bridges that are mostly inoperable. Thanks to a storm surge of up to 24 feet, much of the infrastructure may remain closed or damaged for months. Reports of casualties vary, but victim narratives backed by initial media coverage and official government tallies seem to confirm that at least over one hundred people lost their lives in the storm. That number is likely to rise as contact is re-established with the harder-hit outlying areas. As of the time of this article’s publication, the storm made landfalls over 5 islands, displacing over 600,000 people, destroying or damaging at least 20,000 homes and structures.

The Philippine Government had sufficient warning and heeding past incidents, pre-positioned relief supplies and began mandatory evacuations of residents into emergency shelters such as stadiums and other sturdy structures. No one was prepared however, for the immense damage wrought by winds close to 190 miles per hour with gusts exceeding that figure, along with flash flooding and storm surges that easily came to rooftop levels in most locations. Possibly the only saving grace is the speed of the storm that wrought those winds also made a quick transit of the Visayas region.

With Haiyan now well off-shore and threatening the Vietnamese coast, damage assessment efforts have begun. A generous outpouring of international aid both near and far, and deployment of US Navy units out of Japan will bolster current government operations to bring immediate relief. The challenge is that the entire area is dark, literally. A complete power and communications blackout has hampered efforts to reach both major population centers and the the more isolated townships and villages. Tacloban City airport was devastated, but some reports indicate that the runway is mostly intact. Initial sorties by the Philippine Air Force were focused on delivering electrical generators and sufficient communications gear to replace what was lost on the ground and re-establish links to unaffected areas of the country. Based on media photos, a few PAF C-130s and Sokol utility helicopters were seen on the battered and congested ramp, but the lack of electrical power, damage to the control tower and fueling areas will severely limit the number of flights the airport can handle in the coming days. Sealift support by the Philippine Navy includes up to 20 vessels, most notably the hard-working Bacolod City-class Logistical Landing Craft, a familiar sight from recent crises such as the Bohol earthquake and the Zamboanga City uprising. Overall, the government committed a goodly portion of it’s military and civilian assets and personnel prior to Haiyan’s arrival, to quickly deal with the aftermath. This comprehensive effort is being managed through the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC), the equivalent to the U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency.

Perhaps the only benefit of this natural disaster was the temporary cessation of the standoff at Ayungin Shoals – the Philippine Marines aboard the grounded BRP Sierra Madre safely rode out the storms, as did many other of the small, isolated detachments in the Kalayaan Island Group (KIG) or as the contested Spratleys are known. The Chinese Maritime Surveillance ships quickly moved out ahead of the oncoming tempest for safer harbor.

As with any major Humanitarian Assistance/Disaster Recovery (HA/DR) operation, the bulk of relief supplies will have to be sent via ship or ground. Most roads remain blocked by fallen trees and other debris, with the critical San Juanico bridge linking Leyte, where Tacloban City is located, with it’s Northern neighbor Samar, currently under safety evaluation. This vital road link between the two islands is the only way road-bound supplies can reach the impact zone. Tacloban Seaport is blocked, mostly by debris and ships wrecked and washed ashore by the typhoon’s powerful waves. The San Juanico strait is barely navigable, and the bottom which is littered with World War II shipwrecks are now further cluttered by new victims. Assuming the port can be cleared, this will force relief vessels to either pass north through the San Bernardino Straits and swing around Samar or south through the Surigao Straits into Leyte Gulf, adding miles to an already long voyage.

In a scene eerily reminiscent of the days following Hurricane Katrina, lawlessness and looting have broken out in the major population centers, with President Benigno Aquino III resisting calls to impose martial law, despite some local governments ceding effective control and operations back to Manila due to manpower shortages. Government forces are starting to arrive to deliver both aid and establish law and order. The coming weeks will be the critical time, as efforts to rebuild, restore power, establish potable water sources and housing will be racing the clock against starvation, disease and exposure to the elements.

How to help:

NBC Summary Page of Relief Operations
CNN Summary Page of Relief Operations

Juramentado is the pseudonym for Armando J. Heredia, a civilian observer of naval affairs. He is an IT Risk and Information Security practitioner, with a background in the defense and financial services industries. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author, and do not necessarily represent the views of, and should not be attributed to, any particular nation’s government or related agency.

Typhoon Haiyan’s Aftermath

typhoon-haiyan-survivors-in-philippinesFor those watching the news the past few days it should come as no surprise that Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda locally) – one of the strongest ever to make landfall – has wreaked devastation across a central swath of the Philippines (and is headed in weakened state for Vietnam). The death toll could well top 10,000 and the naval forces of the Philippines, the U.S., and other nations are expected to help in the recovery efforts.

On Saturday Secretary Chuck Hagel announced that Pacific Command will initially provide “surface maritime SAR, medium-heavy helicopter lift support, airborne maritime SAR, fixed-wing lift support, and logistics enablers.” Marines from 3rd Marine Expeditionary Brigade (MEB) in Okinawa, along with KC-130J Hercules, MV-22 Ospreys, and P-3C Orions are in the Philippines or expected to arrive shortly.

Naval forces may have been told in the days prior to ‘lean forward’, which would complete the journey soon for sustained Humanitarian Assistance / Disaster Response (HA/DR) efforts. These are in addition to the U.S. forces and AID efforts already present, mostly in the south of the nation.

Meanwhile analysts and foreign observers are watching to see China’s reaction – whether it comes in the form of aid or taking the opportunity to press its “changing the situation on the ground” approach to territorial claims.

Two ways to personally provide support to relief efforts are through the Red Cross and Team Rubicon. Please also remember the greatest need is often weeks after the initial disaster.

CIMSEC’s November DC Meet-Up

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*Update: A member of veteran-staffed Team Rubicon will be on hand to collect donations if you are interested in making any to aid Philippine relief efforts post Typhoon Haiyan as well as to explain volunteer opportunities with the organization. Donations are strictly voluntary.*

CIMSEC’s DC chapter will be heading to the new Bluejacket Brewery near the Navy Yard Metro stop for our informal November meet-up Wednesday the 20th. We hope you’ll join us to meet some interesting people, discuss all things maritime, or just enjoy good beer and/or food. This event will be co-hosted with the DC chapter of the Disruptive Thinkers group. No need to be a member to join us – the more the merrier. Look for us in the bar area where we have a few tables reserved.

Time: Wednesday, 20 Nov 5:30-9pm

Place: Bluejacket Brewery
300 Tingey St. SE, Washington, DC

RSVPs not required, but welcome: [email protected].

Weekend Reading: 09 Nov 2013

For those who can’t get enough of our sometimes witty, sometimes prescient, sometimes just out-in-left-field writing there’s good news! Now you can spend the weekend reading more from our membership. Here’s what they’ve been up to:

Australia
Natalie Sambhi: Security Scholar: Two new round-ups on Indonesian defense and intelligence news stories

Canada
James Bridger: Foreign Policy: Rise and Fall of a Pirate King

Germany
Felix Seidlers: Seidlers Sicherheispolitik: Germany Needs a Permanent Naval Presence in the Indian Ocean

Poland
Przemyslaw Krajewski: Viribus Unitis: Corvettes and Steadfast Jazz

U.S.
LT Will Spears, USN: JO Rules: Talk Like a Spartan
CDR Chuck Hill, USCG: Chuck Hill’s CG Blog: Norway Buying New SAR Helos
LT Scott Cheney-Peters, USNR: War on the Rocks: How to Not Go to War with China
William Yale: The Diplomat: Air Sea Battle: A Dangerous Unaffordable Threat
Dave Majumdar: USNI News: SR-72 is Only a Plane on Paper
ADM John Harvey (Ret.) and Bryan McGrath: Panel Discussion: Inaugural event at Hudson Institute’s Center for American Seapower
ADM James Stavridis (Ret.): Foreign Policy: Pirate Droves
Raymond Pritchet: Information Dissemination: American Decline
CDR Chris Rawley, USNR: NavalDrones: RAND on USVs
Joseph Hammond: Today’s Zaman: Energy Wars on the Caspain Basin

If you’re a member and don’t see your outside efforts above, be sure to email me at [email protected].

If you’re not a member (and you can check here) and would like to be you can fill out the short, simple, free memberhip application, which gives you access to all sorts of great things, like digital tote bags.

Fostering the Discussion on Securing the Seas.