All posts by Dmitry Filipoff

Call for Articles: Notes to the New Administration

Responses Due: January 20, 2025
Special Series Dates: January 27-31, 2025

Response Length: 500 words
Send To: [email protected].

By Dmitry Filipoff

A new administration is assuming office in the U.S. amidst many national security challenges. What does the incoming administration need to know about the state of U.S. naval power and necessary enhancements to it? What should the administration prioritize for maritime strategy and great power competition with China? What problems and reforms are most deserving of urgent consideration? What could the administration do to increase allied contributions to maritime security and the naval balance of power? Authors are invited to send short responses of 500 words to be featured in a special series of notes to the new administration. Responses should focus strictly on naval, maritime, and national security affairs to be considered. Send all responses to [email protected].

(This is an independent CIMSEC initiative and is not being launched in partnership with any U.S. government entity.)

Dmitry Filipoff is CIMSEC’s Director of Online Content. Contact him at [email protected].

Featured Image: PHILIPPINE SEA (Dec. 7, 2024) – The Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson (CVN 70) transits the Philippine Sea. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Nate Jordan)

CIMSEC’s Top 10 Articles of 2024

By Dmitry Filipoff

CIMSEC had a strong year in 2024. Numerous authors wrote for CIMSEC to offer useful insights and analysis on a broad range of maritime security topics and naval affairs. We are grateful to our readers and authors for contributing to the conversation on our pages. Our top ten most-viewed articles from 2024 are listed below. We look forward to an exciting year in 2025!

1. “Basing U.S. Ships in Nearby Waters to Counter Threats in the Red Sea,” by Michael D. Purzycki

“The need for a U.S. naval presence in and around the Red Sea, combined with the uncertainty of America’s ability to regularly send vessels to that region, portends the basing of U.S. vessels in or around the Fifth Fleet area of responsibility. First, a willing host country must be found.”

2. “Analyzing the German Frigate Hessen’s Near-Miss of a U.S. Drone in the Red Sea,” by COL Jörg Stenzel, German Army, and CDR Michael Posey, U.S. Navy

“In February 2024, a fortunate mishap prevented German Navy air defenders from shooting down an American MQ-9 Reaper in the Red Sea. The frigate misidentified the U.S. drone and fired two Standard Missile 2s at the target – which both subsequently missed. This near-miss incident in the Red Sea and reports about minimal ammunition stocks have triggered many controversial discussions about the German Navy’s capabilities and readiness.”

3. “Transitioning Away from the Carrier Strike Group and Toward Distributed Maritime Operations,” by CDR Anthony LaVopa, USN

“Since World War II, the Navy’s principal means of seizing command of the seas has been the carrier group. However, the service’s warfighting concept of Distributed Maritime Operations (DMO) is fundamentally predicated on a different set of capabilities and force packages…To effectively win a war against a peer competitor, the Navy should transition to the decentralization and distribution inherent in DMO by empowering the surface fleet to take the lead in prosecuting sea control.”

4. “The 50-Year Dilemma In Aircraft Carrier Design and the Future of American Naval Aviation,” by Brent Sadler

“Today, the aircraft carrier faces evolving challenges and emerging technological opportunities. Amidst these challenging times, there is no single or clear picture of how these warships and their airwings will best perform in a modern blue-water war. However, with the next major war shaping up to be a modern replay of the last war in the Pacific, geography shows it is highly likely the aircraft carrier will play a leading role again, but not in traditional battle or strike group formations.”

5. “Quality from Quantity: The PLAN’s Road to Achieve American Skill via Size,” by Matthew Hipple

“Without the opportunity afforded by scale, the U.S. Navy will fall behind an adversary with a world of opportunity to explore new skills, new systems, and grow its force-wide professionalism. The potential qualitative impact of quantity shows at every level – from the shipyards to fleet training for individual sailors.”

6. “To Prepare for Pacific War by 2027, the United States Must Harden its Southern Flank,” by Henry Ziemer

“The 2022 National Security Strategy proudly proclaims that No region impacts the United States more directly than the Western Hemisphere,’ but the U.S. defense posture in LAC is at risk of being outflanked by extra-hemispheric competitors, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) first among them.”

7. “China’s Calculated Inaction in the Red Sea Crisis,” by David Scott

“This crisis is a result of attacks on shipping in the Red Sea, carried out by the Iranian-backed Houthis in solidarity with Hamas. These attacks have been ongoing since November and show little sign of abating. China has maintained a studied and deliberate distancing from the issue, whose strategic inaction rather than action has been noticeable.”

8. “Red Dragon Rising? Insights from a Decade of China Conflict Studies and Wargames,” by Robert Kitchen

“In most cases, wargaming studies still show that a China and Taiwan conflict, featuring a United States intervention, would be close run and incredibly bloody for all sides. There would also be severe effects on the global economy. If the People’s Liberation Army replicates these studies, they should have some deterrent effect on China.”

9. “The Queen Sacrifice: Use the Carrier for Naval Deception,” by Trevor Phillips-Levine and Andrew Tenbusch

“In a world of near-perfect information, deception becomes crucial, and the more believable the ruse, the higher the chances of success. Ruses can be made more believable by capitalizing on an adversary’s cognitive biases, such as their perceptions on what platforms are especially crucial to naval operations.”

10. “The Theoretical Edge: Why Junior Officers Should Study Military Classics,” by Jack Tribolet

“Studying prominent military theorists before mid-level Professional Military Education would give junior officers a comprehensive understanding of the warfighting domains, enhancing their situational awareness and decision-making abilities. By studying theorists like Carl von Clausewitz, Alfred Thayer Mahan, and John Boyd before mid-level Professional Military Education (PME), junior officers can enhance their situational awareness and decision-making capabilities, increasing their lethality.”

Dmitry Filipoff is CIMSEC’s Director of Online Content. Contact him at [email protected].

Featured Image: Multinational ships sail in formation on July 22, 2024, off the coast of Hawaii during Exercise Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC). (U.S. Air Force photo by Master Sgt. Corban Lundborg)

Annual Fiction Week Concludes on CIMSEC

By Dmitry Filipoff

Last week CIMSEC featured short stories submitted in response to our Call for Fiction.

Authors explored a wide variety of futures and scenarios. From unique naval capabilities and platforms, to devious tactics and undersea warfare on foreign worlds, authors imagined an array of thought-provoking scenarios. 

Below are the stories and authors that featured during CIMSEC’s 2024 Fiction Week. We thank them for their excellent contributions.

False Flag,” by Tyler Totten

“Herera looked up from his command display to see empty containerized missile launchers being hauled over the side linked by heavy wire rope. He wasn’t sure why until he saw the next layer of containers opening in turn and starting their launch sequence. Herera realized with horror that the ship could still contain dozens of additional missiles.”

Aleutian Ambush,” by Addison Pellerano

Heart racing, Andrew stumbled his way into the team’s modified operation center, several monitors hooked up to a couple different computers and a Starlink terminal. RW1 Ruiz Castro sat in front of the monitors, receiving the data feeds from multiple of their USVs. RW1 looked up as LTJG Lee entered through the door frame, the blue light of the ops center casting a glow across the space. ‘That was something else, Sir. I am glad no leakers got through,’ he said softly.”

Rendezvous,” by David Strachan

Shilpa shook her head. How did we get here? It was inevitable that astrobiology, much like all of science itself, would be slowly subsumed by the machinations of geostrategy and power politics, but for the scientist in her, it was as absurd as it was immoral. She bristled at the notion of exporting human conflict to another world, and in the name of scientific exploration no less. If we cannot explore in peace, should we even explore at all?”

Veins of Valour,” by Robert Burton

For what seemed an eternity, they remained hidden beneath the canopy, their breaths held in anticipation. Finally, the distant hum of the drones faded into the distance, leaving behind an eerie silence. Before they shed their camouflage, Lieutenant Reynolds took advantage of the tarp’s electromagnetic shielding properties to quickly assess her patient’s vitals.”

The Impending Tide,” by Mike Hanson

As it came closer he noticed its markings were different than he remembered. Troops immediately debarked the helicopter and began unloading supplies. As he came closer he could see their blue uniforms. In large letters on the side of the helicopter were the letters ‘PLANMC.’ These were not Americans. The Chinese had landed.”

Lessons Learned,” by Paul Viscovich

For their part, the drones in the swarm had no active sensors and were dependent on the accuracy of their pre-programmed flight path until getting close enough for units of the scouting pods to detect the infrared signature of exhaust gases from the enemy’s stacks. The usual noise level in CIC ticked down a few decibels as decision-makers and watchstanders alike strained to follow reports of the unfolding attack. Petty Officer Gary Woytowych, seated at his NTDS console, reported events as they happened.”

Visual on the Marlin,” by Karl Flynn

Pahlavi commanded the ROV to slowly move toward the open torpedo tube using the station-keeping mode. He was intently focusing on lining up the resupply capsule with the open tube. At this point, the ROV’s control software was doing most of the work, but Pahlavi could still feel himself sweating. After what seemed like an agonizingly long approach, the finned end of the capsule disappeared into the open torpedo tube.”

Dark Ocean,” by Vince Vanterpool

This area was a bald patch on his displays, completely devoid of visually stimulating information, much like the dark ocean Corbin witnessed just before taking the watch, and like it had been for the last two days. Despite the uniformly blank patch of pixels on the screen, Corbin knew that the area was under heavy scrutiny from both above and within the area; dozens of eyes and ears straining in the void to catch a single glimpse or inadvertent squeak of a possible target.”

Dmitry Filipoff is CIMSEC’s Director of Online Content. Contact him at [email protected].

Featured Image: Art created with Midjourney AI.

Annual Fiction Week Kicks Off on CIMSEC

By Dmitry Filipoff

This week CIMSEC will be featuring short stories submitted in response to our Call for Fiction.

These thoughtful stories examine the future of maritime security and war at sea. Authors creatively envision emerging threats and technologies through novel scenarios and narratives. These stories can help us gaze into the future and flesh out the possibilities of future conflict.

Below are the authors and stories that will feature during this edition of CIMSEC’s annual fiction week. 

False Flag,” by Tyler Totten
Aleutian Ambush,” by Addison Pellerano
Rendezvous,” by David Strachan
Veins of Valour,” by Robert Burton
The Impending Tide,” by Mike Hanson
Lessons Learned,” by Paul Viscovich
Visual on the Marlin,” by Karl Flynn
Dark Ocean,” by Vince Vanterpool

Dmitry Filipoff is CIMSEC’s Director of Online Content. Contact him at [email protected].

Featured Image: Art created with Midjourney AI.